Mortgage interest rates are an important factor for many homebuyers and property owners, affecting their financial situation. How mortgage rates will develop in the coming years is therefore of great interest to many. In this article, we take a look at the baseline scenario for mortgage rate trends through 2021.
According to the forecasts of various experts, the interest rate for ten-year mortgages will move sideways until 2021. The economic situation and central bank policy will play an important role in this regard. In Europe and the U.S., central banks have recently ended their expansionary monetary policies, which has led to a slight increase in interest rates. However, interest rates are not expected to rise rapidly in the foreseeable future.
In this context, it is important to note that interest rates for mortgages have been at a historically low level in recent years. Even if there is a slight increase in interest rates in the coming years, the interest rate level will still be comparatively low. Therefore, it is safe to assume that conditions for homeowners and buyers will remain favorable.
What is the base scenario?
The baseline scenario is a prediction of how interest rates will evolve in the future. It takes into account various factors, such as global economic conditions, central bank policies and inflation. The baseline scenario assumes that interest rates will move sideways, meaning that they will remain at roughly the same level as they are at present.
In the context of mortgages, this means that interest rates for mortgage loans are expected to remain stable. Customers who want to take out a mortgage can therefore assume that interest rates will not rise or fall significantly until 2021. The base scenario serves as a guide and is no guarantee of future developments.
It is important to note that the base scenario is based on assumptions and can change at any time. If there are geopolitical events or economic changes that affect interest rates, the baseline scenario can change quickly. Customers should therefore always keep abreast of current developments and seek advice from a professional if necessary.